Standard deviation and volatility

What volatility means in investing, how standard deviation of returns is calculated and annualised, and typical volatility for stocks, bonds and leveraged funds.

What it measures

Standard deviation measures how far returns typically land from their average. In investing, the annualised standard deviation of returns is called volatility. Higher volatility means a bumpier ride.

How it is calculated

  1. Take daily returns.
  2. Find their average.
  3. Average the squared differences from that average, then take the square root.
  4. Annualise: multiply by the square root of 252 (trading days a year), about 15.9.

A daily standard deviation of 1% is about 16% a year.

Rough meaning

If returns were bell-shaped, about two years in three would land within one standard deviation of the average. With a 10% average and 16% volatility, that is roughly -6% to +26%. Real returns have fatter tails; see Kurtosis and fat tails.

Typical volatility

Asset Annual volatility
Short-term Treasuries Under 2%
Broad bond fund About 5%
S&P 500 About 15 to 20%
Single large stock About 25 to 40%
3x leveraged ETF About 45 to 60%

The The VIX (volatility index) is the market's forecast of S&P 500 volatility for the next 30 days.

See also

Pages that link here: Kurtosis and fat tails

Last updated September 30, 2026. Education only, not investment advice.